Co-authored by Fuad Shahbazov, an analyst in the Turkish think tank Strategic Outlook.
As early as 2010, Iran and Turkey glittered like two inseparable lovers. It was the most astonishing sort of partnership one could imagine: an infatuation between a (Shia-dominated) theocratic republic opposed to the U.S., on one hand, and an (Sunni-majority) ultra-secularist state belonging to the NATO and aspiring to join the European Union (EU), on the other.
It was as dreamy as it was baffling. What brought them together was a combination of two factors: (a) Growing assertiveness among rising powers such as Turkey to more independently pursue self-interest and diversify foreign relations (ostensibly away from the West and towards the East and South); and (b) Almost perfect bilateral convergence, albeit temporarily, in strategic foresight and ideology, as Ankara’s Islamist leadership found growing reasons to reach out to its influential and resource-rich eastern neighbor, Iran, which also experienced a period of ‘reformist resurgence’ in the same period. Oxumağa davam et Iran-Turkey Partnership on Ice→
Geçtiğimiz günlerde Irak Kürdistan’ından gelen peşmergelerin Türkiye-Suriye sınır hattındaki Ayn el-Arab şehrine geçmeleri hem askeri hem de politik açıdan önemli bir olay olarak karşımıza çıkmaktadır. Eylül ayından beri Ayn el-Arab’a olan saldırılarını daha da arttıran IŞİD militanlarının esas amacı stratejik nokta sayılan Ayn el-Arab şehrinin tamamını kontrol altına almaktır. Çoğunluğu Kürt nüfustan oluşan bu şehrin ele geçirilmesi IŞİD için oldukça önemlidir. Oxumağa davam et Türkiye ve IŞİD’in Ayn el-Arab Senaryosu→
Sinem Cengiz is one of the most well-known young experts of Turkey. She is currently serving as a “Diplomacy correspondent” of the biggest political magazine “Todays Zaman”. Sinem is continuing to her researches on Middle Eastern countries and Turkish foreign policy towards region.
1-Western and some Turkish mainstream media claim that the terrorists control 40% to 70% of Syrian territory; what is the reality?
Needless to say, when a state structure collapses, terrorist groups become stronger, deepening their influence in the war-torn country. Syria is running out of time to turn into a failed state – this is a situation which gives opportunity for the terrorists group to find a fertile ground in the country. Oxumağa davam et Interview with Sinem Cengiz→
Interview with Washington DC based Turkish analyst, contributor of “Foreign Policy” magazine and Director of “Sidar Global Advisors” company Cenk Sidar.
1. What is your general opinion about the Arab Spring and how it has changed the geopolitical situation in the Middle East?
The Arab revolutions have shifted the fault lines in the region. If we focus on the fight for democracy that these societies undertook to topple their authoritarian regimes, it is surely a positive development. However, the final product is uncertain; after sweeping away their dictators, these countries face potential chaos. In short, it is too early to make a final judgment. But given the current landscape, it is difficult to be optimistic and expect a full transition into democracy in the region. Oxumağa davam et Turkey’s key role in the Middle East (Interview)→
Among the greatest disappointments in this year’s NAM Summit in Tehran was the conspicuous absence of the Turkish leadership. As a major trading partner of Iran, and a rising star among emerging powers, many expected Turkey to take the gathering – which focused on Iran’s nuclear program and the Syrian crisis – much more seriously – or, at least, not to de-facto ‘boycott’ it so ostentatiously.
None of the ‘big three’ Turks – from Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogen to the President Abdullah Gül and Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu – attended the world’s second largest gathering of nation-states. What makes such absence highly controversial is the fact that all of these men used to traverse the Iranian territory in the warm embrace of Iran’s welcoming leadership, buoyant markets, and investment-starved energy resources. Oxumağa davam et Iran-Turkey Relations: More Rivalry, Less Friendship→